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03.09.2011

A Letter from Phil

"Investor Lessons"



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Philip Colby is an Associate with Raymond James & Associates and can be reached as follows:

 

Raymond James & Associates

100 Meridian Centre Blvd
Suite 150
Rochester, NY 14618

 

Toll Free: 1-888-846-7894
Local: 1-585-274-5004
E-mail: Philip.Colby@RaymondJames.com
 
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The market value of securities fluctuates and you may incur a profit or a loss. This analysis does not include transaction costs and tax considerations. If included these costs would reduce an investor's return.

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A Letter From Phil

"We've been here before"

03.20.2009

 

You need a good memory to be a successful investor. Many people may be too young. Others may have just forgotten the late seventies to early eighties. Inflation was rampant. In 1981, interest rates on 30 year treasuries were 14.6%. Unemployment stood at 10.8%. The Iranian Revolution caused oil prices to triple. And Business Week’s cover stated “death to equities”.

What about 1987-1991? Three thousand banks failed during the Savings and Loan crisis. New York City real estate prices plunged by one third. America was involved in the Gulf War. Yet the overall economy proved remarkably resilient. And the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on average of 18% per year during the nineties.

And from 1999-2003, remember the bursting of the technology bubble. And the resulting destruction of stock market wealth. Enron Corporation, the fall of WorldCom Corporation and the discovery of widespread accounting fraud. And American troops sent to invade Iraq.

Our country has often faced very troubling times. And will again in the future. I believe strongly that it is far too late to sell stocks unless a person believes that it is over for America. The market bottom could come long before there is any good economic news. History shows to never count out America.

This horrible period will pass and those who give up on America will be extremely regretful.



With optimism,

Phil Colby
 

 
 
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